Matteo Arnaldi vs Kei Nishikori Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

HEAD TO HEAD

M. Arnaldi vs K. Nishikori

Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

Flag ITA ITA

w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
Kei Nishikori
Kei Nishikori

Flag JPN JPN

w
l
w
l
w
l
w
l
l
w

1

Win

1

Played

0

Win

24
Age
35
-
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
63
C. Rank
158
30
Best Rank
4
0
Total Titles
12
0
YTD Titles
0
$2.5M
Career Money
$19.1M
-
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 1 - 0 Nishikori

They have played 2 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Kei Nishikori winning 0. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Kei Nishikori was at the National Bank Open - Montreal, 10-08-2024, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-4 7-5.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Arnaldi1
Nishikori0
Last 1 H2H Matches:

(QFNational Bank Open - Montreal(08-10-24)

Hard
ITA Flag
Matteo Arnaldi
6
7
JPN Flag
Kei Nishikori
4
5

M. Arnaldi vs K. Nishikori H2H Profile

Stats
$2,532,865Career Prize Money$19,078,945
59.90% (239-160)Career Total W/L68.04% (596-280)
1Hard0
6Titles21
1Total H2H Matches0
45.45% (20-24)YTD Win/Loss50.00% (10-10)

M. Arnaldi vs K. Nishikori Match Preview:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.14% of points on their second serve, while Kei Nishikori has won 49.40%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 44.30% of their opponent's second serve points, while Kei Nishikori has won 53.42%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.11% and 22.88% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.71% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Kei Nishikori has saved 37.50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Arnaldi has won 46.94% of matches played (W/L 23/26), with Kei Nishikori winning 56.00% (W/L 14/11) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28). Kei Nishikori has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 110/45), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 48/28).
  • Player level: In the last year, Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13), where as Kei Nishikori has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 54.55% of matches (W/L 6/5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Matteo Arnaldi winning 1 times and Kei Nishikori being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Kei Nishikori winning 0.
  • The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Kei Nishikori was at the National Bank Open - Montreal, 10-08-2024, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-4 7-5.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:33.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.08 while Kei Nishikori has played against players with an average rank of 114.92.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Kei Nishikori has won 73% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.17% of breakpoint opportunities, and Kei Nishikori has converted 35.71% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Kei Nishikori Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Arnaldi vs K. Nishikori H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
1H2H Matches Won0
2Sets Won0
13Games Won9
5Aces (Total)0
5Total Double Faults1
2:0:33Average Match Time2:0:33
48% (35/73)1st Serve %68% (52/76)
74% (26/35)1st Serve Win %58% (30/52)
45% (17/38)2nd Serve Win %54% (13/24)
44% (4/9)Break Pts Won %33% (2/6)
43% (33/76)Return Points Win %41% (30/73)
100% (1/1)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Arnaldi 51%, Nishikori 49%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Arnaldi 47%, Nishikori 51%.
Break Points Saved %: Arnaldi 65%, Nishikori 59%.

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

Q1

GBRJ. Fearnley
L
7-5 6-2
I.hardErste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025

R2

GERA. Zverev
L
6-4 6-4

R1

USAA. Kovacevic
W
7-5 6-4

Q3

AUST. Schoolkate
W
7-6(5) 6-3

Q1

NEDJ. De
W
6-4 7-6(5)

K. Nishikori Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardYokohama Challenger - 17-11-2025

R1

JPNT. Ichikawa
W
4-6 6-1 6-1
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R1

ARGC. Ugo
L
7-5 6-3
ClayGonet Geneva Open - Geneva - 19-05-2025

R2

RUSK. Khachanov
L
7-5 2-5 ret.

R1

USAL. Tien
W
4-6 6-4 6-4
ClayMutua Madrid Open - Madrid - 21-04-2025

R2

CAND. Shapovalov
L
6-1 6-4
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M. Arnaldi vs K. Nishikori Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
59.90% (239/160)YTD Win/Loss68.04% (596/280)
57.91% (560/407)Sets Win/Loss62.27% (1398/847)
52.58% (4842/4366)Games Win/Loss53.88% (11496/9841)
60.71% (85/55)Hard Win/Loss67.81% (297/141)
65.35% (132/70)Clay Win/Loss68.29% (140/65)
38.30% (18/29)Indoor Hard W/L70.70% (111/46)
40.00% (4/6)Grass Win/Loss63.16% (48/28)
0.36Aces Per Game0.23
1621Aces Total2441
0.25Double Faults Per Game0.18
1126Total Double Faults1929
1:45:46Average Match Time1:27:16
301.4Average Opponent Rank454.21
59% (16488/28035)1st Serve %62% (36571/59095)
68% (11281/16488)1st Serve Win %70% (25744/36571)
50% (5794/11542)2nd Serve Win %53% (12012/22509)
43% (1155/2712)Break Points Won % (Total)41% (2540/6168)
40% (10868/27336)Return Points Win %40% (24087/60695)
56.25% (18/14)Slam W/L69.43% (109/48)
54.39% (31/26)Masters W/L61.98% (119/73)
80.00% (4/1)Cups W/L76.00% (19/6)
48.57% (34/36)Main Tour W/L69.57% (224/98)
0% (0/0)Tour Finals W/L35.71% (5/9)
59.84% (73/49)Challenger W/L72.95% (89/33)
70.27% (78/33)Futures W/L71.43% (20/8)
61% (223/367)Best of 3 Sets Win %68% (475/696)
43% (12/28)Best of 5 Sets Win %72% (113/158)
58% (76/131)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)59% (165/281)
51% (68/133)Deciding Set Win %73% (201/277)
83% (242/200)1st Set Won, Won Match92% (511/469)
17% (242/42)1st Set Won, Lost Match8% (511/41)
24% (156/37)1st Set Lost, Won Match35% (365/128)

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